ST EDGE · Professional Performance Analytics
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REAL CASE

Analysis of a real account

A real account on Italian government bonds, analysed with ST EDGE: a 2025 Assessment of 94.8 out of 100 and one point to improve, the weight of commissions.

A NOTE FIRST

The case concerns the personal account of ST EDGE's founder. The documents on this page were generated by the app from the account's data, with the amounts redacted.

ACCOUNT HOLDER
ST EDGE's founder
MARKET
BTP, cash market
YEAR ANALYSED
2025
DATA LOADED
66,671 transactions
PURPOSE OF THE ANALYSIS

Robustness of the 2025 results

The analysis checks whether the 2025 results remain solid once the dependence between days and the other relevant factors are taken into account. The initial Sharpe Ratio is close to 9 and the drawdown is below 1%. ST EDGE applies declared assessment rules and also flags the limits of the data.

RESULTS OF THE ANALYSIS

What the results show

01
AssessmentThe Assessment is 94.8 out of 100, in the «Excellent» band. The precision interval runs from 92 to 96 and stays within the same band. The score uses a corrected Sharpe Ratio of 6.85 instead of the initial 8.99. The correction accounts for how similar the days are to one another, measured by an autocorrelation of +0.36.
02
Weight of commissionsCommissions account for 31.16% of the gross gain: beyond the «Good» band and above the category median. Bringing them down to the median, the 2025 net return would go from 25.93% to about 29.38%. This is a simulation based on the available data.
03
Monte Carlo simulationThe simulation reshuffles the 233 days of 2025 in blocks, preserving runs of positive and negative days, and rebuilds the year 20,000 times. Every simulation ends with a positive result; in the worst 5% of cases it is +16.02%. In one simulation in twenty the drawdown exceeds 0.61%. These results describe the scenarios generated from the available data and do not guarantee future results. A longer history or different market conditions could reveal losses not present in this sample.
04
Comparison of the AI commentariesThe same data set was submitted twice to Google Gemini, once in Italian and once in English. The conclusions, including the analysis of commissions, were consistent; the text, some scorecard items and the final score varied. The scores were 9.0 and 9.11. The variation is consistent with the generative nature of the model. The reference document remains the ST EDGE Assessment, which applies the same rules to the same data.
THE DOCUMENTS

Case documents

The four documents generated on the account, to browse page by page in the language chosen for the site.

SCOPE AND LIMITS

The account belongs to ST EDGE's founder: it is not an independent customer case. The data is what was loaded into the app and has not been verified by outside parties. Past results do not indicate future results. This page is not financial advice or an invitation to follow a strategy. Who built ST EDGE.

TRADING DATA ANALYSED WITH ST EDGE

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